哈利波特6可望擊敗其他新片 - 電影院

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Box office preview:"Harry Potter" likely to hold off newcomers
哈利波特6可望擊敗其他新片

by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office, Movie Biz

It’s going to take more than super-charged guinea pigs, a Katherine Heigl
rom-com, or a freaky orphan to knock Harry Potter from its perch atop the box
office. While G-Force, The Ugly Truth, and The Orphan will make a valiant
effort trying, Harry Potter’s spell is just too strong. Check out my
predictions below.

本周哈利波特票房冠軍寶座的挑戰者包括數量驚人的天竺鼠、金髮美女
凱薩林海格的愛情喜劇,以及一位精神異常的孤兒。然而這些影片再怎麼
嘗試,還是無法抵擋小哈利超強的咒語(也有魅力的意思),以下是本週
的詳細預測

1. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: $31 million
2007’s Harry Potter and Order of the Phoenix fell 58 percent its second
weekend after opening to $77 million its opening frame. This Potter should
fall in the same range — and perhaps even steeper — considering it’s
already grossed $177 million in just seven days of release.

1.哈利波特:混血王子的背叛-3千1百萬美金
前年哈5在首周末賺了7千萬的票房之後,隔週就下跌了將近6成。這次哈6也會
面臨同樣的命運,甚至跌的更多,因為H-BP已經在第一周已經累積1.77億的
票房了

2. G-Force: $25 million
Yes, it’s 3-D. Yes, it’s from uber-producer Jerry Bruckheimer. But it’s
about guinea pigs, for goodness sake, which automatically limits the audience
to the Beverly Hills Chihuahua-viewing set, even if they are trained by the
government. Chihuahua opened last February to $29 million. I don’t expect as
much from this one, even if it is in 3-D and opening in over 3,200 theaters.

2.鼠膽妙算-2千5百萬美金
是的,有3D設備;是的,有超級製片傑瑞布魯克海墨;但是因為這是有關
天竺鼠的電影,所以觀眾群將會限制在喜歡「比佛利拜金狗」的觀眾上。
我不指望鼠片能超越「比」片去年2千9百萬的成績,即使本片有3D設備與
超過3千2百家的戲院

3. The Ugly Truth: $19 million
Sandra Bullock’s The Proposal opened earlier this summer to $33.6 million,
but that featured a PG-13 rating and a hot Ryan Reynolds. The Ugly Truth’s
R-rating will significantly limit its playability, not to mention a rather
formulaic concept of the beautiful single woman played by Katherine Heigl,
always looking for the wrong man. Didn’t Men are from Mars, Women are from
Venus come out like a decade ago? Add in the scathing early reviews and there
is no way this movie is opening in the range of The Proposal.

3.男女生了沒-1千9百萬美金
上個月,珊卓布拉克的「愛情限時簽」的首映票房高達3千萬,但那是因為
有比較寬鬆的PG13分級與當紅炸子雞萊恩雷諾。被列為R級絕對會嚴重影響
本片的作戰能力,更不用說凱薩林海格飾演的美麗單身女子總是找不到
Mr. Right的公式化劇情了,不信的話你可以去翻一遍十年前的暢銷書
「男人來自金星,女人來自火星」。再加上目前相當苛刻的初步影評
(濫番茄27篇影評只有7%的滿意度),本片確定不可能達到「愛」片先前
的成就

4. Orphan: $14 million
The second R-rated film to bow this weekend, Orphan stars Vera Fermiga as the
unwitting mother who adopts an evil child. Billboards are everywhere, but
that doesn’t necessarily translate into box office grosses. What Orphan does
have on its side is its the first horror movie to bow since Sam Raimi’s Drag
Me to Hell opened in May.

4.孤兒怨-1千4百萬美金
描述維拉佛明嘉飾演的不聰明媽媽領養邪惡小孩的「孤兒怨」,是本周
第二部新上檔的R級電影。本片的廣告相當醒目,但那並不表示高曝光可以
轉化為高票房。不過孤片還是有一個優勢:這將是山姆雷米5月上映的
「地獄魔咒」之後,第一部大規模上映的恐怖驚悚片

5. Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs: $10.5 million
Ice Age is likely to suffer most from the entry of G-Force in the
marketplace. But the 3-D toon pic has already grossed close to $160 million,
putting it on track to best the original Ice Age’s gross of $170 million and
likely to near Ice Age: The Meltdown’s $195 million take.

5.冰原歷險記:恐龍現身-1050萬美金
IA3有可能是鼠膽妙算進入電影院之後的最大受害者,不過這部有新技術的
3D動畫片目前已經有1.6億的票房,肯定會超越首集的1.7億,甚至有機會
挑戰IA2的1.95億


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All Comments

Catherine avatarCatherine2009-07-28
所以是變形金鋼急速降溫的意思嗎?
Vanessa avatarVanessa2009-07-30
變形金剛2有望問鼎四億,其他片還望塵莫及喔
Joseph avatarJoseph2009-07-30
希望哈利波特跌幅在55%以內,昨天去看比想像中好看太多了
Emily avatarEmily2009-08-01
兩部新片都是R級,票房會受限制,天竺鼠威脅比較大 XD
Jacky avatarJacky2009-08-01
變形金剛2到7/28都還有IMAX加持,可否破四億,關鍵就在IMAX
Delia avatarDelia2009-08-06
天竺鼠很可愛啊~~比狗狗可愛多了...
Hedwig avatarHedwig2009-08-08
HP第二週跌那麼慘~會不會有人的想法是都等到第二週了~再等
Connor avatarConnor2009-08-12
幾天換IMAX看~
Sarah avatarSarah2009-08-15
其實是哈利波特"慘跌"的意思XD
Carol avatarCarol2009-08-16
整體而言對票房的貢獻仍屬有限 比例應該還不到一成(?
不要太高估IMAX的票房 雖然Digital IMAX增加不少 但
整體而言對票房的貢獻仍屬有限 比例應該還不到一成(?
Leila avatarLeila2009-08-17
哈利波特5第二週大跌57%以上,結果總票房依然逼近三億!
Audriana avatarAudriana2009-08-19
這一集就算第二週大跌60%以上,依然有機會破三億!
Victoria avatarVictoria2009-08-21
TF2第二週慘跌60%以上,依然很可能破四億! XD
Rachel avatarRachel2009-08-22
Vanessa avatarVanessa2009-08-23
事實上 變形金剛2的續航力和變形金剛1大致持平
Regina avatarRegina2009-08-24
而哈利波特6的後勁已反輸給哈利波特6 但因為有人好惡
異常分明XD 所以變形金剛是慘跌 哈利波特卻是恭喜~
Vanessa avatarVanessa2009-08-27
*更正:反輸給哈利波特5
Zanna avatarZanna2009-08-30
HP6跟HP5也差不多持平
Kristin avatarKristin2009-08-31
TF1跟TF2第二週跌幅差這麼多,要說是持平,恐怕沒人信服^_^
Caroline avatarCaroline2009-09-04
IMAX的票房就算只佔一成,也是左右票房的關鍵!別低估IMAX
Andrew avatarAndrew2009-09-06
TF2的IMAX票房就很高,接下來就期待哈利波特6囉 ^_^
Eden avatarEden2009-09-10
ps:我可沒有"恭喜"哈利波特大跌 別亂扣帽子 純粹用數據
Rachel avatarRachel2009-09-12
TF2: $371,089,745 / $200,077,255 = 1.855
Doris avatarDoris2009-09-17
TF1: $290,357,856 / $155,405,412 = 1.869
Joe avatarJoe2009-09-20
兩者上映頭五日和上映三十日累積票房的multiplier供參。
Michael avatarMichael2009-09-24
longevity並不是光看第二週週末跌幅而已,咳咳...
Kyle avatarKyle2009-09-27
變2慘跌,哈6有望破三億,恭喜
變2有望破四億,恭喜,哈6慘跌
Adele avatarAdele2009-10-01
報票房可以客觀一點,要加心得可以另外發表一篇
Anthony avatarAnthony2009-10-06
變2有望擠進北美史上前十,就票房而言還能怎麼挑剔?
Necoo avatarNecoo2009-10-07
肯定
Donna avatarDonna2009-10-11
s大大肯定是沒認真看我貼的那兩張表格吧,TF2首週末
較TF1進步甚多外,一個月來幾乎每一日都贏過TF1,再
Iris avatarIris2009-10-14
差跌幅慘? 真正慘跌的是被你恭喜的HP6,次週三較首
輔以Ozzilla提供的乘數數據,你還能嘴硬說TF2的後勁
差跌幅慘? 真正慘跌的是被你恭喜的HP6,次週三較首
Freda avatarFreda2009-10-17
週三"崩跌"87.1%(TF2算慘跌 那HP6用崩跌是剛好而已)
從次週三開始每天票房都輸給HP5,以後要舉跌勢兇後勁
差的片,"恭喜"!除了蛛蛛人3外,又多了部哈利波特6
Quanna avatarQuanna2009-10-22
好無聊的爭吵,反正HP系列本來就不依賴北美票房。而且
Eden avatarEden2009-10-23
以HP系列而論,更是好成績。