Variety綜藝雜誌的奧斯卡提名 揭曉 - 電影

: ※ 引述《jonathan836 (jonathan836)》之銘言：
: 來源與完整名單：http://goo.gl/1dKaiV

: 美國兩大娛樂雜誌之一的綜藝雜誌發表了他們對於奧斯卡提名名單的預測，究竟他們會
: 猜中多少呢？明天晚上就知道了

: 以下是名單節錄，順序表示綜藝雜誌的看好程度：

最佳影片Best Picture
v神鬼獵人"The Revenant" (20th Century Fox)
v驚爆焦點"Spotlight" (Open Road Films)
v大賣空"The Big Short" (Paramount Pictures)
v絕地救援"The Martian" (20th Century Fox)
v間諜橋"Bridge of Spies" (Walt Disney Pictures)
v愛在他鄉"Brooklyn" (Fox Searchlight Productions)
x因為愛你"Carol" (The Weinstein Co.)
v瘋狂麥斯"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Warner Bros. Pictures)
x衝出康普頓"Straight Outta Compton" (Universal Pictures)
+不存在的房間Room

綜藝忽略了不存在的房間，然後衝出康普頓與因為愛你悲劇了（特別是後者＝　＝）


最佳導演Best Director
v神鬼獵人Alejandro G. Inarritu ("The Revenant")
x絕地救援Ridley Scott ("The Martian")
v大賣空Adam McKay ("The Big Short")
v驚爆焦點Tom McCarthy ("Spotlight")
x因為愛你Todd Haynes ("Carol")
+瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道George Miller ("Mad Max: Fury Road")
+不存在的房間Lenny Abrahamson ("Room")

因為愛你再度槓龜成大苦主（有一種被替換成不存在的房間的fu），而雷利史考特罕見沒
被提名。然後，恭喜瘋狂麥斯的米勒導演！


最佳男主角Best Actor
v神鬼獵人Leonardo DiCaprio ("The Revenant")
v史蒂夫賈伯斯Michael Fassbender ("Steve Jobs")
v丹麥女孩Eddie Redmayne ("The Danish Girl")
v特朗勃Bryan Cranston ("Trumbo")
x黑勢力Johnny Depp ("Black Mass")
+絕地救援Matt Damon ("The Martian")

猜五中四，絕地救援聲勢一直看漲，雖然麥特這次應該是陪榜


最佳女主角Best Actress
v不存在的房間Brie Larson ("Room")
v愛在他鄉Saoirse Ronan ("Brooklyn")
v因為愛你Cate Blanchett ("Carol")
x丹麥女孩Alicia Vikander ("The Danish Girl")
v45年Charlotte Rampling ("45 Years")
+翻轉幸福Jennifer Lawrence ("Joy")

猜五中四的比例也太高，都懷疑是不是故意錯一個來增加話題性了


最佳男配角Best Supporting Actor
v間諜橋Mark Rylance ("Bridge of Spies")
v金牌拳手Sylvester Stallone ("Creed")
v大賣空Christian Bale ("The Big Short")
x無境之獸Idris Elba ("Beasts of No Nation")
v驚爆焦點Mark Ruffalo ("Spotlight")
+神鬼獵人Tom Hardy ("The revenant")

湯姆哈迪！（又是猜五中四）


最佳女配角Best Supporting Actress
v因為愛你Rooney Mara ("Carol")
v史蒂夫賈伯斯Kate Winslet ("Steve Jobs")
v八惡人Jennifer Jason Leigh ("The Hateful Eight")
x特朗勃Helen Mirren ("Trumbo")
x人造意識Alicia Vikander ("Ex Machina")
+丹麥女孩Alicia Vikander ("The Danish Girl")
+驚爆焦點Rachel McAdams ("Spotlight")

Alicia Vikander怎樣都是中獎。然後雖然我很喜歡驚爆焦點，但我不覺得瑞秋有突出到
可以被提名最佳女配啊....


最佳改編劇本Best Adapted Screenplay
v大賣空"The Big Short" (Adam McKay, Charles Randolph)
x史蒂夫賈伯斯"Steve Jobs" (Aaron Sorkin)
v因為愛你"Carol" (Phyllis Nagy)
v愛在他鄉"Brooklyn" (Nick Hornby)
v不存在的房間"Room" (Emma Donoghue)
+絕地救援"The Martian"

絕地救援崛起，猜五中四崛起


最佳原創劇本Best Original Screenplay
v驚爆焦點"Spotlight" (Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer)
v腦筋急轉彎"Inside Out" (Josh Cooley, Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve)
x八惡人"The Hateful Eight" (Quentin Tarantino)
v人造意識"Ex Machina" (Alex Garland)
v衝出康普頓"Straight Outta Compton" (Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh
Savidge, Alan Wenkus)
+間諜橋Bridge of Spies

昆汀這次好慘（猜五中四+1）


最佳攝影Best Cinematography
v神鬼獵人"The Revenant" (Emmanuel Lubezki)
v怒火邊界"Sicario" (Roger Deakins)
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (John Seale)
v因為愛你"Carol" (Edward Lachman)
v八惡人"The Hateful Eight" (Robert Richardson)

全部命中！


最佳服裝設計Best Costume Design
v因為愛你"Carol" (Sandy Powell)
v仙履奇緣"Cinderella" (Sandy Powell)
v丹麥女孩"The Danish Girl" (Paco Delgado)
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Jenny Beavan)
x愛在他鄉"Brooklyn" (Odile Dicks-Mireaux)
+神鬼獵人"The Revenant"

50年代的時代劇愛在他鄉不敵聲勢看漲的神鬼獵人


最佳剪接Best Film Editing
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Margaret Sixel)
x絕地救援"The Martian" (Pietro Scalia)
v神鬼獵人"The Revenant" (Stephen Mirrione)
v大賣空"The Big Short" (Hank Corwin)
v星際大戰：原力覺醒"Star Wars: The Force Awakens"(Maryann Brandon, Mary Jo Markey)
+驚爆焦點Spotlight

猜五中四，驚爆焦點擠下絕地救援（反正絕地救援已經不少意外提名的獎項了啦ＸＤ）


最佳化妝與髮型設計Best Makeup and Hairstyling
v神鬼獵人"The Revenant" (Graham Johnston, Adrien Morot, Robert Pandini)
x福爾摩斯先生"Mr. Holmes" (Dave Elsey)
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Lesley Vanderwalt, Damian Martin, Elka Wardega)
+The 100 years old man

這樣也能沒沒中Orz


最佳原創配樂Best Original Score
v星際大戰：原力覺醒"Star Wars: The Force Awakens" (John Williams)
v八惡人"The Hateful Eight" (Ennio Morricone)
v間諜橋"Bridge of Spies" (Thomas Newman)
x驚爆焦點"Spotlight" (Howard Shore)
v怒火邊界"Sicario" (Jóhann Jóhannsson)
+因為愛你Carol

因為愛你在技術類獎項扳回了一點點，沒意外得獎的不是八惡人就是星際大戰吧


最佳原創歌曲Best Original Song
v"Til It Happens To You" (from "The Hunting Ground")
x玩命關頭七"See You Again" (from "Furious 7")
v年輕氣盛"Simple Song #3" (from "Youth")
x笑笑羊"Feels Like Summer" (from "Shaun the Sheep Movie")
x"I'll See You In My Dreams" (from "I'll See You In My Dreams")
+007惡魔四伏"Writing's On The Wall" (from "Spectre")
+格雷的五十道陰影"Earned It" (from "Fifty Shades of Grey")
+"Manta Ray"(from "Racing Extinction")

目前最多槓龜的獎項！玩命關頭七致敬保羅的片尾曲意外落馬


最佳美術指導Best Production Design
v間諜橋"Bridge of Spies" (Adam Stockhausen; Rena DeAngelo, Bernhard Henrich)
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Colin Gibson; Katie Sharrock, Lisa Thompson)
v絕地救援"The Martian" (Arthur Max; Celia Bobak, Zoltan Horvath)
x星際大戰：原力覺醒"Star Wars: The Force Awakens" (Rick Carter, Darren Gilford; Lee Sandales)
v丹麥女孩"The Danish Girl" (Eve Stewart; Michael Standish)

猜五中四。星戰7受到神鬼獵人的衝擊而沒被提名最佳美術指導


最佳音效剪接Best Sound Editing
v星際大戰：原力覺醒"Star Wars: The Force Awakens" (David Accord, Matthew Wood)
v神鬼獵人"The Revenant" (Martin Hernandez, Randy Thom, Lon Bender)
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Scott Hecker, Mark Mangini, David White)
x八惡人"The Hateful Eight" (Wylie Stateman)
v絕地救援"The Martian" (Oliver Tarney)
+怒火邊界Sicario

怒火邊界比想像還受到奧斯卡評審們的青睞，昆汀這次除了有點慘


最佳混音Best Sound Mixing
v星際大戰：原力覺醒"Star Wars: The Force Awakens" (Stuart Wilson, Andy Nelson, Chris Scarabosio)
v神鬼獵人"The Revenant" (Chris Duesterdiek, Frank A. Montaño, Jon Taylor, Randy Thom)
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Ben Osmo, Chris Jenkins, Gregg Rudloff)
v絕地救援"The Martian" (Mac Ruth, Paul Massey, Mark Taylor)
v間諜橋"Bridge of Spies" (Drew Kunin, Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom)

全中


最佳視覺特效Best Visual Effects
v星際大戰：原力覺醒"Star Wars: The Force Awakens" (Roger Guyett, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan, Chris Corbould)
v瘋狂麥斯：憤怒道"Mad Max: Fury Road" (Andrew Jackson, Tom Wood, Dan Oliver, Andy Williams)
v絕地救援"The Martian" (Richard Stammers, Chris Lawrence, Anders Langlands, Steven Warner)
v神鬼獵人"The Revenant" (Rich McBridge, Matt Shumway, Jason Smith, Cameron Waldbauer)
x走鋼索"The Walk" (Kevin Baillie, Jim Gibbs, Viktor Muller, Sebastien Moreau)

+人造意識Ex Machina

又是猜五中四，Ex Machina這次真的很維妙維肖


最佳動畫片Best Animated Feature Film
v腦筋急轉彎"Inside Out" (Pixar Animation/Walt Disney Studios)
x史奴比"The Peanuts Movie" (20th Century Fox)
v安諾瑪麗莎"Anomalisa" (Paramount Pictures)
v笑笑羊"Shaun the Sheep Movie" (Lionsgate)
x先知"Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet" (GKIDS)


最佳外語片Best Foreign Language Film
v索爾之子"Son of Saul" (Lazlo Nemes; Hungary)
v少女離家日記"Mustang" (Deniz Gamze Erguven; France)
x謊言迷宮"Labyrinth of Lies" (Giulio Ricciarelli; Germany)
x維瓦"Viva" (Paddy Breathnach; Ireland)
x"The Brand New Testament" (Jaco Van Dormael; Belgium)
+Krigen
+Theeb
+El abrazo de la serpiente

誤差很大的預測


提名五項以上的電影：

神鬼獵人：12項
瘋狂麥斯：10項
絕地救援：七項
驚爆焦點：六項
因為愛你：六項
星際大戰：五項
大賣空：五項
間諜橋：五項


結論：準確率不算離譜，儘管今年風向如此混亂，接下來要預測誰會得獎，恐怕會比預測
哪些人被提名還要更加困難與有挑戰性.....

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