「冰原歷險記」與「變形金剛」的國慶假期大戰 - 電影院

Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2009-07-03T18:39

Table of Contents


http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2009/07/box-office-preview-ice-age-3.html

Box Office Preview: 'Ice Age 3' and 'Transformers 2' wage holiday weekend war
「冰原歷險記」與「變形金剛」的國慶假期大戰

Jul 2, 2009, 06:16 PM | by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office

Hollywood studios always expect to reap big returns on holiday weekends, and
this Fourth of July frame won't be any different. But with the actual
Independence Day holiday falling on a Saturday -- a virtual dead day at the
movies -- the gains won't be as great as some might prefer. Still, with the
review-proof crowd pleasers Ice Age 3 and Transformers 2 squaring off -- and
the Johnny Depp-Christian Bale period piece Public Enemies looking to carve
out a special piece of the pie for grown-up moviegoers -- the battle will be
pitched as ever.

好萊塢的電影公司一直希望在重要假期能夠有票房大豐收,所以七月四號的
美國國慶也不例外,然而今年的獨立紀念日剛好落在星期六-對於電影公司來說
其實沒有太大差別的日子,所以電影院能夠賺的錢也不會像一些片場高層想的
那麼完美。但是由於「冰原歷險記3」與「變形金剛2」正合觀眾口味讓電影院
充滿排隊人潮,以及強尼戴普與克利斯丁貝爾的時代劇「頭號公敵」將會瓜分
成年觀眾群大餅的一部分,本周的票房大戰還是會跟以往一樣激烈

1.Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen -- $49 million
In just eight days, Michael Bay's critic-shunning, robot-fighting juggernaut
has grossed $239 million, putting it on track to be the highest grossing film
of the summer: It's guaranteed to surpass both Star Trek and Up over the
weekend.

1.變形金剛:復仇之戰-4900萬美金
麥可貝的新片雖然影評欠佳,但這部機器人打鬥的超級巨片只花了8天
就已經賺到2.39億,讓本片正朝向今年暑假最賺錢電影之路邁進。
這個禮拜本片確定將會同時超越「星際爭霸戰」與「天外奇蹟」

2.Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs -- $48 million
This weekend will provide yet more proof that children love them some
dinosaurs -- even if it's impossible that dinosaurs were ever around during
the ice age. Critics haven't been kind, but with the past two Ice Age films
grossing $176 million and $195 million, audiences will come out regardless.
(Ticket buyers already plunked down $13.8 million on Wednesday, Ice Age 3's
opening day.) After all, parents need somewhere to take their kids. Oh, and
that little squirrel Scat and his acorn adventures are pretty cute.

2.冰原歷險記3-4800萬美金
本周有更多證據證明小孩喜歡恐龍,儘管冰河時期實際上不可能有恐龍存在。
本片的影評其實並不友善,但是根據冰原系列的賣座紀錄(首集1.76億,
第二集快兩億),觀眾們還是會照樣買單(實際上IA3在開映首日的星期三
就已經有1380萬的票房),畢竟,家長們需要一個可以帶小孩的地方嘛!
對了,這一集鼠魁特的楨果冒險旅程還是很可愛喔!

3.Public Enemies -- $25 million
Johnny Depp as bank robber John Dillinger, on the run from Christian Bale's
FBI agent Melvin Purvis, should be reason enough for any moviegoer to spend
10 bucks at the theater. Add in perfectionist director Michael Mann and
ingenue Marion Cotillard and we've got ourselves a movie. (The film banked
$8.2 million on its opening day.) And if that isn't encouragement enough,
consider this: If Public Enemies fails like so many other adult dramas have
recently, the chances of seeing more movies like it will be as good as
Dillinger surviving the Biograph Theater takedown.

3.頭號公敵-2千5百萬美金
強尼戴普飾演傳奇大盜約翰迪林傑,以及克利斯丁貝爾飾演FBI探員梅文伯維斯,
應該有足夠理由吸引影迷花個300元進入戲院了吧!加上完美主義的導演麥可曼恩
與小金人加身的瑪莉詠柯蒂亞,我們應該可以更加享受這部電影(本片開映日的
票房為820萬),假如這還不夠激勵你的話,你可以想想看:假如「頭號公敵」
跟其他最近的成人戲劇一樣在票房上吃鱉了,我們在暑假看這種劇情片的機率,
就會變得跟迪林傑在畢歐葛夫戲院爆炸案生存的機率一樣低

4.The Hangover -- $10 million
No one ever thought Bradley Cooper, Ed Helms, and Zach Galifianakis could
headline a $200 million grossing movie. And yet, after this weekend, when the
$31 million-budgeted, Todd Phillips-directed, R-rated comedy crosses the $200
million mark, that'll be the case.

4.醉後大丈夫-1千萬美金
沒有人想過布來德利庫伯與其他不知名演員可以讓本片成為擁有兩億票房的
賺錢電影,但是當這部由陶德菲力普斯導演,成本只有3千萬的R級喜劇達到
這個關卡時,這將會是值得研究的案例

5.The Proposal -- $9 million
This Anne Fletcher-directed comedy has already out-grossed many of Sandra
Bullock's previous films, including The Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya
Sisterhood and Miss Congeniality 2. If it maintains its current pace, it's on
track to surpass Two Weeks Notice's take of $93 million by next week. Not bad
for a movie star who was sworn to abandoning the romantic comedy gen

5.愛情限時簽-9百萬美金
這部由安佛萊奇導演的喜劇的票房已經超越了珊卓布拉克以前的電影,
包括「Ya-Ya私密日記」與「麻辣女王2」,如果她維持目前的步調,在下週
超越「貼身情人」的9300萬也不是問題,對於這位曾經宣示不再拍愛情喜劇
的明星來說,這樣的成績算不錯了!



--

All Comments

Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2009-07-05T04:21
這個外電,每週的預估都跟實際誤差很大 XD
Mary avatar
By Mary
at 2009-07-08T06:36
根據boxofficemojo周四的預估,[冰原3]6200萬[變形]5200萬
Isabella avatar
By Isabella
at 2009-07-12T02:30
[公敵]3450萬,都跟我上週預估的非常接近 ^_^
Edward Lewis avatar
By Edward Lewis
at 2009-07-12T07:42
請問樓上的數據是出自下面這個網址嗎?
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/
Hardy avatar
By Hardy
at 2009-07-17T03:20
若"是"的話,那就有問題了,因為那並非Boxofficemojo
的預測,而是當週"參加預測比賽者的預測數據平均"喔!
Aaliyah avatar
By Aaliyah
at 2009-07-20T23:31
最新的週四票房,TF2上升,贏過下滑的IA3,而依IA3上
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2009-07-23T09:08
映以來的趨勢研判,週末三天"不大可能"超過六千萬,
頂多略高於五千萬,更"不可能"贏TF2一千萬,頂多小勝
Dorothy avatar
By Dorothy
at 2009-07-23T17:53
甚至還蠻有可能是TF2勝出,按TF2至今仍未現疲態的票
Freda avatar
By Freda
at 2009-07-28T08:49
房表現來看,我認為您對該片的"看壞"應該可以改口了
Mason avatar
By Mason
at 2009-07-29T16:27
雖然娛樂週刊的票房預測常常失準,但單論本週末,我
敢說,EW的數字會比您所預測(或所舉例)的數字要準
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2009-08-02T09:28
很可惜 編導演員陣容超強的Public Enemies僅有中上評
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2009-08-05T10:21
價,大概無緣奧斯卡了,麥可曼恩很難再拍出如Heat或
The Insider的巔峰水準了
Sandy avatar
By Sandy
at 2009-08-08T14:03
靜觀其變...
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2009-08-12T09:27
但您還未回答我的第一個問題呀 是不是弄錯資料了呢?
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2009-08-14T12:26
沒錯,我是根據這份資料,的確是出自boxofficemojo
Hazel avatar
By Hazel
at 2009-08-15T14:08
Boxofficemojo網友的預測平均值 =/= Boxofficemojo的
官方預測唷~
Victoria avatar
By Victoria
at 2009-08-16T20:35
預測值不管官不官方,重點是跟實際票房接近喔 ^_^
Caroline avatar
By Caroline
at 2009-08-20T10:34
我觀察這個預估幾個月了,誤差沒有很大!倒是這個外電差很大
Rachel avatar
By Rachel
at 2009-08-20T13:10
很巧的是,跟我6/26預估的票房也很接近,蠻有趣的!
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2009-08-21T08:17
TF2已經顯出疲態了,上週四跟本周四相比,慘跌60.4%
Yedda avatar
By Yedda
at 2009-08-24T21:30
[冰原3]族群是家庭觀眾,原本就是衝假日,周四下跌是意料中
Sarah avatar
By Sarah
at 2009-08-26T20:44
[公敵]表現也很穩健,週末依然會有可觀的票房進帳
Daph Bay avatar
By Daph Bay
at 2009-08-29T17:56
ps:[TF2]的IMDB分數以每幾天掉一分的速度前進,目前6.5
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2009-08-30T20:02
很有可能跌破6.0,就算本集給他破四億,也難保下集的票房水準
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2009-09-01T21:49
疲態? 上映第九天(平日)票房還超過1100萬算啥疲態?
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2009-09-04T02:19
建議您還是先弄清楚比較對象 和上映檔期條件相似的影
片相比 http://tinyurl.com/n62uje
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2009-09-04T13:32
的HP5和SM2,在基數樂勝的情況下,隔了一週,跌幅還
TF2上週四(上映第二天)的票房樂勝同為"暑期週三開映"
的HP5和SM2,在基數樂勝的情況下,隔了一週,跌幅還
Zanna avatar
By Zanna
at 2009-09-07T02:09
票房跟自己比,隔週,周三慘跌82.4%,周四慘跌60.4%
George avatar
By George
at 2009-09-11T22:19
和前兩者相當,這樣的表現哪裡算疲態了?
Noah avatar
By Noah
at 2009-09-12T03:31
就說你在唬人吧!沒有驚人的史上第二開票日6200萬,
一般大片有本事跌82%嗎?
Kelly avatar
By Kelly
at 2009-09-12T17:12
如果慘跌60%以上不算疲態,那就隨你便囉 ^_^
John avatar
By John
at 2009-09-13T00:49
看各地方的評價也知道本片雷聲大雨點小,慘跌也是意料中的事
Michael avatar
By Michael
at 2009-09-17T23:22
基數樂勝他片,跌幅的空間本來就較大,何況實際跌幅
還和條件相當的比較對象在伯仲之間,再看看這兩個比
較對象,哈利波特五和蜘蛛人二,算是續航力差的片嗎?
Leila avatar
By Leila
at 2009-09-18T15:32
有什麼好不能接受的呢?本週末最好狀態是破三億,最壞兩億九
Belly avatar
By Belly
at 2009-09-23T07:51
你還是沒搞懂嘛!TF2的續航力並不輸其他大片,你一再
舉出的"跌幅"主要是肇因於"前一週票房超巨大",而非
電影評價過差好嗎? 評價差跌幅鉅,咦?票房(不管累
積或單日)卻繼續樂勝其他續航力不差的大片,這是怎麼
回事呢??
Heather avatar
By Heather
at 2009-09-27T05:46
如果片子真的很好看,跌幅不會這麼大,反而會上漲才對呢 ^_^
Odelette avatar
By Odelette
at 2009-10-01T16:11
到底哪部片在第九第八天會較第二第一天上漲呢?
Adele avatar
By Adele
at 2009-10-02T17:59
咦?TF2的第九日不就較第八日上揚嗎?選擇性漏看?
Annie avatar
By Annie
at 2009-10-05T10:14
可見評價太爛,導致隔週慘跌這麼多,週末肯定也是一樣狀況
Iris avatar
By Iris
at 2009-10-06T19:51
而且這個外電預估值比boxofficemojo預估還要低,肯定慘跌
Queena avatar
By Queena
at 2009-10-08T02:22
呵呵 您繼續自我感覺良好吧 原來SM2和HP5也評價太爛
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2009-10-08T06:02
這類宣傳搞很大的電影,通常10天內會吸引大票人去看,之後就
Edith avatar
By Edith
at 2009-10-11T19:07
我預估TF2的次週末跌幅為55% TDK去年是52% 原來3%就
是"評價太爛"和"評價超高"的差距呢?! 受教了~
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2009-10-12T18:29
真正評價爛跌幅差的代表是SM3或Hulk,別再舉例失據了
Tristan Cohan avatar
By Tristan Cohan
at 2009-10-14T23:13
進入慘跌期,除非像[鐵達尼號][史瑞克2]這樣抗跌的奇葩
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2009-10-15T17:41
TF2上映以來的跌幅至少和一般大片"相當",但它的首週
基數卻樂勝一般大片,要批TF2的票房續航力?省省吧!
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2009-10-20T10:31
照您的說法,一般大片跌幅都是這麼樣呀!所以大家評
價都爛所以導致跌幅太大,是嗎?
Sierra Rose avatar
By Sierra Rose
at 2009-10-20T11:35
再怎麼賣座,也頂多破四億,何況還有IMAX加持,結果一樣慘跌
Poppy avatar
By Poppy
at 2009-10-22T17:18
事實上,就是您不喜歡TF2,所以一直唱衰其票房,偏偏
TF2在台灣美國都仍持續熱賣
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2009-10-27T00:35
[變形金剛2]情況跟[神鬼奇航2]雷同,第一集有口碑,第二集爛
John avatar
By John
at 2009-10-31T22:09
幫幫忙!講了這麼多,還在慘跌?TF2若是慘跌,大部分
評價中上續航中等的好萊塢大片也都是慘跌了XDDD
Todd Johnson avatar
By Todd Johnson
at 2009-11-02T07:07
第三集也可能爛尾收場,畢竟麥可貝的功力只能停留在搞特效
Robert avatar
By Robert
at 2009-11-06T21:54
又在自打嘴巴了,神鬼奇航二的續航力絕對優於一般票
房大片(鐵達尼 Shrek Pixar等異數除外),舉神鬼2出來
只是砸自己的腳而已
Donna avatar
By Donna
at 2009-11-09T06:26
現在又跳針到第三集是怎麼回事?難道你要學人家任期
明明四年卻自動延長成八年?
Olga avatar
By Olga
at 2009-11-10T12:22
看不慣TF2熱賣->唱衰其票房->事實就是沒"慘跌"->說不
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2009-11-12T17:13
贏人---(跳了很大一針)--->"預言"第三集會賣爛賣垮?
Steve avatar
By Steve
at 2009-11-13T05:49
如果片子好看,熱賣一點都不為過,但拍成這樣,當然最好慘跌:)
Blanche avatar
By Blanche
at 2009-11-16T21:46
如果真的好看,票房不會長這樣的,應該抗跌甚至上漲才對啊
Susan avatar
By Susan
at 2009-11-21T15:31
重點:這個外電連續幾週跟實際票房誤差有點大,boxofficemojo
Selena avatar
By Selena
at 2009-11-25T00:53
的平均預測比較接近,本周boxofficemojo平均預測比這外電高
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2009-11-27T19:47
你那麼愛TF2,你應該是希望boxofficemojo比較準吧 ^_^
Damian avatar
By Damian
at 2009-11-30T08:25
我愛的是"就事實說實話",mojo只是預測比賽的平均數
Ophelia avatar
By Ophelia
at 2009-12-03T11:39
據被你當成網站官方預測來誆人,TF2沒慘跌被你說成慘
跌,我只對這兩點有意見,有什麼資料說什麼話,而不
是憑一己好惡來唱衰看壞 扭曲事實
Lily avatar
By Lily
at 2009-12-07T03:22
"如果真的好看,票房不會長這樣的,應該抗跌甚至上漲才
對啊"?所以您認為隔週跌五成以上的大片都是評價爛?
Dora avatar
By Dora
at 2009-12-11T03:07
到底有哪部首週末破億的大片 隔週末還會"上漲"?
Gary avatar
By Gary
at 2009-12-12T12:45
麻煩舉例好嗎,敝人才疏學淺,從未聽過有這回事
Suhail Hany avatar
By Suhail Hany
at 2009-12-14T23:38
隨你講吧...^_^ 資料來源都很清楚,沒什麼好騙的~
Kristin avatar
By Kristin
at 2009-12-18T19:18
The Derby players' avg. prediction ≠ Brandon Gray's
Ursula avatar
By Ursula
at 2009-12-20T04:24
(BOM's) prediction. Simple as that.
Jake avatar
By Jake
at 2009-12-20T14:48
很簡單:預測值不管官不官方,哪裡準就值得參考
Isla avatar
By Isla
at 2009-12-23T12:29
拘泥在誰誰誰,頂多是最後不準,有攻擊的對象罷了 XD
Elma avatar
By Elma
at 2009-12-25T08:46
boxofficemojo每週四都會在首頁上方,秀出這預測值的連結
Ula avatar
By Ula
at 2009-12-29T02:44
可見他們對這些數字持肯定的態度,所以"提供參考"
Hedda avatar
By Hedda
at 2009-12-29T20:08
週四秀出連結只是因為"預測比賽於週三午夜截止",這
麼會凹,我鐵定是凹不贏你的XD
Carolina Franco avatar
By Carolina Franco
at 2010-01-02T01:51
www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/derbygamelist.htm
Wallis avatar
By Wallis
at 2010-01-05T00:00
附上今年"預測比賽參賽者平均成績"的準確度
Olive avatar
By Olive
at 2010-01-05T08:14
我覺得變2是一部明知道評價差還有辦法吸引人進戲院的電影
Lydia avatar
By Lydia
at 2010-01-09T04:30
http://boxoffice.com/numbers/
Thomas avatar
By Thomas
at 2010-01-11T03:38
http://www.boxofficeguru.com/070409.htm
Callum avatar
By Callum
at 2010-01-11T23:08
還在發"冰原3破六千 贏變形2一千"的夢嗎? 呵呵~
Ivy avatar
By Ivy
at 2010-01-14T00:28
電影版一堆TF2文都負雷或普雷,但結論都是去電影院看吧XD
Hedy avatar
By Hedy
at 2010-01-15T04:36
看完推文MarcusWright樂勝 OVER~
Agnes avatar
By Agnes
at 2010-01-17T21:22
[變形金剛2]慘跌6成......................
Zenobia avatar
By Zenobia
at 2010-01-22T05:56
變形金剛2時在很讚XD

想請問一下關於中和環球國賓的問題

Bethany avatar
By Bethany
at 2009-07-03T16:26
原文恕刪 借原PO的文再問有關中和國賓的問題 不知道環球聯名卡的週二國賓電影優惠 是不是有繼續延長? 還是停止了。 - ...

裘莉、安妮絲頓 最會撈錢冠亞軍

Andy avatar
By Andy
at 2009-07-03T16:25
【聯合報╱記者蘇詠智/綜合報導】 2009.07.03 「富比世」官網整理出這一年來最會賺錢的好萊塢女演員,毫不意外由安琪莉娜裘莉奪第 一,她的死對頭珍妮佛安妮絲頓以些微差距拿下亞軍。然而兩人和吸金實力最強的三大歌 后瑪丹娜、席琳狄翁與碧昂絲相比,收入簡直天差地遠。 據估計,裘莉一年之間賺進約新台幣8億 ...

威秀的網路訂票壞了?

Megan avatar
By Megan
at 2009-07-03T15:26
請問威秀的網路訂票是不是壞掉了? 我禮拜三前還可以看到場次和登入系統 過了禮拜四零點之後到現在,仍無法登入及看到場次說。一直顯示主伺服器頁面錯誤 請問最近兩天有去定的都是這樣嗎? 還是只是我的電腦的問題而已?? 謝謝嚕 - ...

用636訂日新威秀變形金剛IMAX的票可用ꨠ…

Regina avatar
By Regina
at 2009-07-03T03:00
※ 引述《cityshunter (新的事物 新的心情)》之銘言: : 請問一下各位高手 : 剛剛我使用636的訂票系統 : 但是顯示出來的票價是 : 台北日新威秀,(IMAX)變形金剛復仇之戰,2009/07/06 16:10 : 全票 2 張 : 總計660元 ( 票價660元 ...

電影訂票優惠價還可以選位

Harry avatar
By Harry
at 2009-07-03T02:37
剛在觸電網發現 訂威秀或美麗華電影票 可以選位票價才220元一張 還不錯用 不用到現場排隊 可以直接看到剩位狀況 但是要有讀卡機才行用 對大片像變形金剛2或哈利波特6是必用的 http://www.truemovie.com/ - ...