最後一封情書會擊敗阿凡達嗎? - 電影院

http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2010/02/04/box-office-preview-dear-joh/

Box-office preview: Can 'Dear John' knock 'Avatar' out of its top spot?

by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office, Film, Movie Biz

Avatar has now defeated Titanic in every milestone the great boat epic upheld
for well over its decade in power. As the new king of the world, Avatar has
every right to take its crown–and its nine Oscar nominations–and go quietly
into the night. But will it? It’s held on to the top spot for a miraculous
seven straight weekends, and with last weekend’s fall of only 10%, it looks
like it can stay on top forever. That is, until it encounters the force of
young, screaming teenage girls.

阿凡達終於打破鐵達尼號高懸10多年的紀錄,成為新的"世界之王"
加上奧斯卡九項提名的加持,這部蟬連7周冠軍,上週只有10%跌幅的大片
看起來可以長久呆在冠軍上...除非有更吸引年輕女生的影片

Yes, Dear John looks like your typical sappy romance but don’t underestimate
the power of the sap. It’s why Lifetime is a force on cable television,
Valentine’s Day exists, and Hallmark is a $4.3 billion company. It also
helps that Dear John sports Channing Tatum, Hollywood’s latest “It” guy
who in the next two months will be in two movies based on Nicholas Sparks
adaptations (he’s also in Disney’s March 31 opener The Last Song opposite
Miley Cyrus). He’s done dance movies (Step Up), actioners (G.I. Joe), and
now he’s taking on romance. Will he succeed? If the screaming girls at the
premiere are any indication, the answer is already a yes. Read on for my
predictions.

是的,最後一封情書是典型的言情電影,但不要低估他的力量,這正是
Lifetime在有線台有高收視率、情人節存在、Hallmark公司價值43億美金的理由
加上本片有好萊塢最近最夯的男演員錢寧塔圖,在這部由尼可拉斯史帕克小說改編
的影片演出,他在舞蹈片(舞出真我)、動作片(特種部隊)都獲得了成功,
現在他則要演出愛情片。他會成功嗎?假如首映當天尖叫的女生是個暗示的話.
答案是肯定的,以下是預測

PS:本文作者誤以為Tatum在另一部電影"最後一首歌"也有演出,但她其實搞錯了


1. Dear John: $26 million
Most critics are not fans of this film, which stars Tatum and Amanda Seyfried
as a young soldier and the college girl he falls for. But neither Sony, who’
s distributing the movie, nor Relativity Pictures, which financed and
produced it, are counting on critics to get butts in seats. Rather, this is
all about the girl factor and they are expected to come out in some solid
numbers this weekend. Especially considering it’s Super Bowl Sunday; What
fabulous pre-teen wants to be stuck watching football all day?

1.最後一封情書:2千6百萬美金
大部分的影評對於塔圖飾演的年輕士兵愛上女大生亞嫚達席菲德的情節
不是特別喜愛,但是發行本片的索尼公司與提供預算製作本片的Relativity Pictures
並不在乎,因為他們期待的是女孩們在本週貢獻漂亮的數據
尤其考慮到本周是超級盃週末,有年輕人喜歡足球到看著它一整天嗎?


2. Avatar: $25 million
It’s gotta fall 20% this frame. It’s outperformed every expectation for the
last seven weekends but really, who hasn’t seen this movie by now?

2.阿凡達:2千5百萬美金
本週票房會下跌20%
本片在前7周的表現都超乎預期,但說真的,有誰還沒看過本片的?


3. From Paris With Love: $10 million
This R-rated actioner is the only other new wide release of the weekend and I
think it’s going to be hit hard by the Super Bowl. The film stars John
Travolta and Jonathan Rhys Meyers as an unlikely CIA duo who take on a
notorious crime ring in the streets of Paris. Travolta has been lauded for
his over-the-top performance but both the poor directing by last year’s
springtime hero Pierre Morel (Taken) and the muddled plot have left critics
dissatisfied.

3.諜戰巴黎:1千萬美金
這部R級的動作片是本週唯二新片的另外一部,然而他恐怕無法抵擋超級盃的力量
儘管約翰屈伏塔在這部與強納森萊斯梅爾組成CIA的不可能搭檔
聯手制服巴黎街頭犯罪幫派的影片中,有著超水準的演出
然而去年春天以即刻救援驚艷全球的導演皮耶莫瑞爾這次不理想的表現
加上含糊的劇情,都不能讓影評感到滿意


4. Edge of Darkness: $8.5 million
I don’t think this Mel Gibson-starrer is gonna hold up. Reviews weren’t
great and I doubt word-of-mouth is making much of a difference. I expect we’
ll be forgetting about this film rather quickly.

4.驚爆萬惡城:850萬美金
梅爾吉勃遜的新片恐怕是撐不住了!
因為專業影評並不算太好,而且觀眾的口碑會讓他更難突破,我想我們很快就會忘掉
這部片了


5. When in Rome: $5 million
Disney’s first release of the year is sure to get pounded by Dear John but
it should still grab a spot in the top five for the frame.

5.羅馬不思議:5百萬美金
迪士尼今年第一部新片將會被"最後一封情書"給擊倒,但還是可以在前五名佔一席之地


Also this weekend: Both Crazy Heart and An Education expand wider to take
advantage of the Oscar nominations for the two films. Now perhaps they’ll be
coming to a theater near you

另外值得注意的是瘋狂的心與名媛教育兩部片,在奧斯卡提名後的擴廳效應
或許你可以在你家附近戲院看到他們的存在


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