魷魚遊戲第5關Nash均衡 - 韓劇
By Hedy
at 2021-10-09T02:27
at 2021-10-09T02:27
Table of Contents
魷魚遊戲第5關跳玻璃,如果參賽者仔細想一想,就會發現全員同意結束遊戲才是最佳解。
因為有16片玻璃要跳,第一名參賽者知道跳下去根本死定,所以他唯一合理的行動只有提
議結束遊戲。
第二名參賽者知道第一名參賽者一定不會跳,而他也不能把第一名推下去送死(不然自己
就變成下一位玩家去跳,根本也死定。),所以他也只能提議結束遊戲。
第二名參賽者除了提議結束遊戲外,還必須跟第一名合作互相守護,免得排名後面的參賽
者用暴力把他們兩位推下去。
所以現在狀況是,第一、二名玩家會聯合起來提議結束遊戲、並互相保護彼此不被暴力攻
擊。
這時排名靠後的人可能會聯合起來,想把一二名玩家推下去,但在在一、二名玩家合作防
禦的狀況下,想用暴力讓他們跳玻璃風險很大。
(很可能扭打過程攻擊者自己先摔下去。而且只要一二名玩家堅持不往前跳、嚴守防禦,
要用暴力讓他們準確摔在玻璃上也很難。一二名玩家甚至可以威脅寧願自殺也不要踩玻璃
。)
這時第三名玩家會這樣想:不能讓一二名死,不然自己變成要第一個跳,這要基本穩死。
用暴力讓他們跳又不太可能。何況就算真的讓他們跳了,輪到自己還剩10幾片玻璃基本也
穩死。
於是第三名玩家也會加入一二名的「提議結束遊戲、並聯合防禦免得遭到暴力攻擊。」
以此類推,第四名玩家不能讓前三名完全沒先探路,否則輪到自己穩死,但他們三人聯合
防禦,又很難用暴力讓他們準確踩玻璃。
於是第四名玩家只剩一個選項:「提議結束遊戲、並聯合防禦免得遭到暴力攻擊。」
第五名也是這樣、第六名也是這樣...最後全部都會這樣想,於是一起全員通過結束遊戲,
達到了本關的Nash均衡。
而且由於已經知道遊戲,每次情況都會如此,也不可能再回來參加,因此魷魚遊戲劇終。
--
因為有16片玻璃要跳,第一名參賽者知道跳下去根本死定,所以他唯一合理的行動只有提
議結束遊戲。
第二名參賽者知道第一名參賽者一定不會跳,而他也不能把第一名推下去送死(不然自己
就變成下一位玩家去跳,根本也死定。),所以他也只能提議結束遊戲。
第二名參賽者除了提議結束遊戲外,還必須跟第一名合作互相守護,免得排名後面的參賽
者用暴力把他們兩位推下去。
所以現在狀況是,第一、二名玩家會聯合起來提議結束遊戲、並互相保護彼此不被暴力攻
擊。
這時排名靠後的人可能會聯合起來,想把一二名玩家推下去,但在在一、二名玩家合作防
禦的狀況下,想用暴力讓他們跳玻璃風險很大。
(很可能扭打過程攻擊者自己先摔下去。而且只要一二名玩家堅持不往前跳、嚴守防禦,
要用暴力讓他們準確摔在玻璃上也很難。一二名玩家甚至可以威脅寧願自殺也不要踩玻璃
。)
這時第三名玩家會這樣想:不能讓一二名死,不然自己變成要第一個跳,這要基本穩死。
用暴力讓他們跳又不太可能。何況就算真的讓他們跳了,輪到自己還剩10幾片玻璃基本也
穩死。
於是第三名玩家也會加入一二名的「提議結束遊戲、並聯合防禦免得遭到暴力攻擊。」
以此類推,第四名玩家不能讓前三名完全沒先探路,否則輪到自己穩死,但他們三人聯合
防禦,又很難用暴力讓他們準確踩玻璃。
於是第四名玩家只剩一個選項:「提議結束遊戲、並聯合防禦免得遭到暴力攻擊。」
第五名也是這樣、第六名也是這樣...最後全部都會這樣想,於是一起全員通過結束遊戲,
達到了本關的Nash均衡。
而且由於已經知道遊戲,每次情況都會如此,也不可能再回來參加,因此魷魚遊戲劇終。
--
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