「全民超人」的票房慶功煙火準備好了! - 電影院

http://www.ew.com/ew/article/0,,20210530,00.html

Box Office Preview

'Hancock': Box-Office Fireworks Ahead

「全民超人」的票房慶功煙火準備好了!

After a strong Wednesday premiere, Will Smith's superhero flick looks to
blow open the record books over the July 4th weekend

在很猛的星期三首映票房之後，威爾史密斯的這部超級英雄電影可望打破
美國國慶日的票房紀錄

By Joshua Rich

Joshua Rich
Joshua Rich is a staff editor for EW.com

It's Fourth of July weekend, everybody — America's favorite time of year for
picnics, fireworks, and Will Smith movies! In case you haven't heard, the
Biggest Movie Star in the World's latest release, Hancock, got off to a
stellar start on Tuesday evening, banking $6.8 million in preview screenings.
And it added another $17.4 mil when it officially opened on Wednesday.

各位，現在是國慶週末，美國人必備的活動包括：去野餐、放煙火、以及去看威爾
史密斯主演的電影！如果你資訊還沒有update的話，這位最大咖巨星的最新作品
「全民超人」，在星期二的搶先首映就賺到了680萬美金，在星期三的正式上映日
更是添加了1740萬(單位也是美金，所以不再重複單位)

So, yeah, it's a lock for the weekend win. But how big will it be against a
slew of super-strong holdovers? And can the expanding kiddie hit Kit
Kittredge: An American Girl put a dent in WALL-E's shiny metal body? My
predictions are below, and you can register yours in EW.com's Summer Box
Office Challenge. Our game may not be as sparkly as a Roman Candle, but it's
10 times the fun.

所以，這個週末的冠軍得主已經產生了，但是這位新冠軍到底會有多強呢？還有，
擴張戲院的兒童小品「Kit Kittredge: An American Girl」是否能更擊倒瓦力的陽光
金屬銅體呢？以下就是我的預測，你也可以去EW.com註冊帳號並作出預測。我們的遊戲
或許不像持火筒那樣耀眼，但是絕對比他們至少有趣10倍

THE (LIKELY) TOP FIVE

預測前五賣座電影

Hancock
Columbia‧PG-13‧3,965 theaters‧NEW

1.全民超人
新力/PG13/3965家戲院/新上映

Here's the place where I would ordinarily analyze Hancock's plot and discuss
why you may or may not go see it this weekend. But why bother? It doesn't
matter what Will Smith movies are about, because they all wind up being hits.
Science fiction (Independence Day; I, Robot; Men in Black), action-horror (I
Am Legend), romantic comedy (Hitch), animation (Shark Tale), thriller (Enemy
of the State), even straight drama (The Pursuit of Happyness) — there's no
genre in which Smith isn't hugely successful. And, amazingly enough, he seems
to be getting more popular as the years go on: Last winter's I Am Legend drew
the actor's biggest box-office bow yet ($77.2 mil) and second-best total
domestic gross ($256.4 mil).

依照慣例，我將在這裡分析全民超人的劇情，以及討論你會不會去看本片的原因。
但有這個必要嘛？威爾史密斯的電影，劇情並不重要，因為他們每部都會很賣。
無論是科幻片（星際終結者、機械公敵、星際戰警）、動作驚悚片（我是傳奇）、
浪漫喜劇（全民情聖）、動畫片（鯊魚黑幫）、驚悚片（全民公敵），甚至是單純的
劇情片（當幸福來敲門）－威哥沒有一種類型不是成功的。

而且更驚人的是，這幾年來他變的更受歡迎了；去年冬天的「我是傳奇」不僅創下
這位演員的首映票房新高（7720萬），在美國的總成績也排名第二（2億5640萬）

So will Hancock, his first foray into superhero movies, be any different? Aw,
hell no! When we combine Smith's current track record, with the fact that the
movie is the only major new thing in theaters, with the fact that it grossed
$24.4 mil on its first day and a half, with the fact that this is the holiday
weekend on which Smith has had so much success in the past (Independence Day
and the Men in Black movies all opened mightily around July 4th)...we're
looking at a debut for the ages.

所以他的超級英雄初體驗「全民超人」，也會有不一樣嘛？X的，當然是不會啦！
當我們追蹤威哥這次的紀錄時，我們發現幾個事實：

1.本片是戲院本周唯一新上檔的大片
2.首映的第一個1.5天就賺了2440萬
3.威哥在過往國慶週末的賣座紀錄實在太優了
（ID4與MIB都是在7月4日附近開演）

換句話說，我們等於是在見證一個驚人的首映成績

The film's Friday-to-Sunday numbers may not be as big as Iron Man's $98.6 mil
bow earlier this summer (after all, Transformers brought in $70.5 mil on this
weekend last year, Hancock's CinemaScore grade from audiences is a
good-but-not-great B+, and I suppose it's possible that some folks might
actually avoid the multiplex this weekend). But they should be close.

Weekend prediction: $83 million

本片的週末首映數字可能不會像暑假第一檔「鋼鐵人」一樣有9860萬的驚人成績，
畢竟去年的「變形金剛」首映周末也只賺取了7050萬，另外全民超人在CinemaScore的
觀眾分數是OK但還不夠棒的B+，我也假設有些鄉民真的會避免在首映周就去電影院，
但成績應該跟我想的差不多

預測首映票房:8300萬

WALL-E
Walt Disney/Pixar‧G‧3,992 theaters‧2nd weekend

2.瓦力
迪士尼-皮克斯/G級/3992家戲院/第二周

Okay, clearly, I have a bit of a man-crush on Will Smith. Ah, well, I bet
it's something that most moviegoers can empathize with: Just look at how
everybody fell in love with Pixar's cuddly little robot last weekend! That
$63.1 mil debut was sweet, indeed, and considering how well the animated
flick has been holding on during the week (it has grossed more than $7.5 mil
per day), a 33 percent decline on this holiday weekend is all I expect it to
face.

Weekend prediction: $42 million

我先承認，我個人是對威哥有一點著迷啦。
不過，我也敢打賭有不少影迷會去力挺瓦力。
看看有多少人被迷倒於這個皮克斯創造的可愛小機器人吧！超過六千萬的首映
真的是很棒的成績，所以你可以想像這部動畫片的持久度會有多強
（每天至少收入750萬），我預估這個假期週末他只會有百分之33的下跌程度

預測週末成績:4200萬

Wanted
Universal‧R‧3,185 theaters‧2nd weekend

3.刺客聯盟
環球/R級/3185家戲院/第二周

And then there's Angelina Jolie's R-rated shoot-'em-up, which has also struck
gold at the box office. The film's $50.9 mil debut far exceeded expectations,
and it remains the only major truly adult action offering in theaters right
now.

Weekend prediction: $28 million

這可以說是安潔麗娜裘莉的R級大屠殺，這也讓她在票房上有黃金等級的表現。
本片超過五千萬的首映成績，已經超乎大家的預期，而且他看樣子也會成為影城裡面
唯一一部專門吸引成人的火爆動作片

預測週末成績：2800萬

Kit Kittredge: An American Girl
Picturehouse ‧ G ‧ 1,843 theaters ‧ 3rd weekend

4.Kit Kittredge: An American Girl
Picturehouse/G級/1843家戲院/第三周

This live-action children's movie features Academy Award nominee Abigail
Breslin as a Depression-era lass, a role modeled on a doll in the American
Girl line of toys. Then again, I suppose if you needed me to explain that to
you, you're not likely to be seeing this movie.

這部兒童電影由「小太陽」愛碧貝斯林演出一個在不景氣年代，根據American Girl
玩具產品線設計的女孩。如果有需要的話，我想再次跟你說，我假設你不會去看本片

But many others will: The film has been a smash in limited release for the
past two weeks (it earned nearly half-a-million bucks in just five venues),
and this expansion seems to be a sure thing, financially. The only minor —
very minor — caveat is that Kit Kittredge may have a harder time striking
it rich in cities that don't have an American Girl Place store. Of course, if
the success of movies like Hanna Montana & Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds
Concert ($65.3 mil) is any indication, that won't matter: Tween girls adore a
movie that's made just for them.

Weekend prediction: $13 million

但這部片還是有機會賣座，因為他在兩週以來的限量地區上映非常成功
（五個城市收入50萬），所以全國大規模聯映絕對可以賺更多。唯一的一個小小障礙
，就是Kit Kittredge在沒有American Girl Place的地區要有好票房將會比較吃力。
當然，如果他像孟漢娜演唱會那樣成功鋪設的話（收入超過6500萬），那就不重要了，
因為年輕美眉就是喜歡專門為他們打造的電影

預計週末收入:1300萬

Get Smart
Warner Bros. ‧ PG-13 ‧ 3,574 theaters ‧ 3rd weekend

5.特務行不行
華納兄弟/PG13/3574家戲院/第三周

Steve Carell's spy spoof should clear the $100 mil mark by the end of the
weekend, making it the Daily Show alum's third live-action star vehicle —
and sixth feature overall, including animated pics and flicks in which he
had a supporting role — to do so. Could he be the next Will Smith? (Okay,
probably not.)

Weekend prediction: $12 million

史帝夫卡爾的這部諜報喜劇應該可以在本週末達到1億關卡，讓他成為「the Daily
Show」當中第三位有成功拍動作片的校友，也是他第六部有如此成績的電影，當然，
這也把他配音的動畫片與他當配角的影片也算進去了。他會是下一個威哥嗎？
（好吧，也許不會）

週末預測：1200萬


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