三部新片都無法擊敗阿凡達 - 電影院

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Box office preview: 'Tooth Fairy', 'Extraordinary Measures' and 'Legion' will
all fall to 'Avatar'
牙仙大帝/愛的代價/暗黑天使都無法擊敗阿凡達

by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office

Neither a grown man in a fairy costume, nor Harrison Ford, nor badass
avenging angels will be able to topple Avatar, even as James Cameron’s 3-D
extravaganza enters its 6th weekend in theaters. Avatar has already grossed
more than $500 million domestically and is likely to surpass The Dark Knight's
cume of $533 million by the close of the weekend. As such, Dwayne Johnson’s
The Tooth Fairy, the Harrison Ford- Brendan Fraser medical weepie
Extraordinary Measures, and Sony’s supernatural drama Legion will all have
to vie for 2nd, 3rd and 4th place, along with holdovers Book of Eli and The
Lovely Bones.

Read on for my predictions.

無論是穿著牙仙服的肌肉猛男、飾演大夫的哈里遜福特、邪惡的復仇天使
都無法擊敗阿凡達,即使這部詹姆士柯麥隆的3D史詩片在戲院的映期進入第六週,
阿片在美國已經突破五億,本週末更是將會超越黑暗騎士的5.3億,
讓巨石強森的牙仙大帝、福伯與布蘭登費雪主演的催淚醫療劇愛的代價、
索尼影業的超自然劇情片暗黑天使最多也只能擠入亞軍席次,
何況,他們還要同時跟奪天書與蘇西的世界一起競爭呢!

1. Avatar: $34 million
Considering the film dropped only 17% last frame, a mere 20% fall this
weekend is not impossible.

1.阿凡達︰3千4百萬美金
阿片上週末只下跌了17%,所以要在本週只下跌20%並不是不可能


2. The Tooth Fairy: $18 million
We’ll find out this weekend if the Dwayne Johnson bad-guy-turns-good schtick
still works with audiences. This time around the man formerly known as The
Rock transforms from mean hockey player to …. nice Tooth Fairy? Sounds
dubious, but with trailers playing on The Squeakquel, a strong opening with
family audiences won’t be surprising.

2.牙仙大帝︰1千8百萬美金
我們在本週就會知道觀眾對於巨石強森由邪轉正的無厘頭喜劇,是否還繼續買單了
雖然自私的冰球明星扮演牙仙的劇情聽起來很荒謬,
但是由於他的預告已經在鼠來寶2播放前不斷播放,所以牙片應該可以開出不錯的
家庭盤


3. Book of Eli: $16 million
With a strong $32 million opening weekend and $43 million already in the
bank, Eli should hold on well its second weekend in theaters, even with the
extra competition from Legion. Denzel Washington has proved he’s still a
movie star.

3.奪天書︰1千6百萬美金
隨著上週開出三千萬的紅盤,儘管本週要面臨暗黑天使的挑戰,
目前累積超過4千萬的奪片應該還是能在第二週保持好成績
丹佐華盛頓也藉此證明他仍然是能幫片商賺錢的超級巨星


4. Legion: $12 million
It’s violent and scary! And Biblical! This apocalyptic drama starring Dennis
Quaid and Paul Bettany should generate a decent opening weekend gross —
especially for a comparatively inexpensive film to make — but it won’t be
enough to unseat the big boys. Still, a positive audience reaction could give
it legs, er, wings in the coming weeks.

4.暗黑天使︰1千2百萬美金
本片的預告看起來很暴力、很可怕,但又很神聖
這部由丹尼斯魁德與保羅貝特尼主演的末日劇情片應該可以開出一定水準的票房,
尤其考慮到他的製作成本並不貴,雖然他不能吸引太多的大男孩買票,
不過正面的觀眾口碑還是可以給本片一雙健康的腿,不,是一對翅膀,
在未來幾週保持成績


5. Lovely Bones: $9 million
Teenage girls have suddenly powered up this left-for-dead drama from Peter
Jackson. With little out there for the girls this weekend, they may come back
for more. Expect a 45% drop. The film has grossed $22 million so far.

5.蘇西的世界︰9百萬美金
年輕女生們很意外的對於彼得傑克森這部女主角升天的劇情片頗為買帳,本週對女生
來說沒有重要活動,所以她們也許會回來戲院看本片,把跌幅控制在45%之間

目前本片的全美累積票房為2千2百萬


It’s unlikely Extraordinary Measures will make it into the Top 5 this
weekend. With an ad campaign that resembles a made-for-TV movie and with no
love from the critics, this Harrison Ford/Brendan Fraser vehicle, which is
targeted primarily at adults, is going to have trouble connecting. It’s a
tough debut for CBS Films, which enters the theatrical business with this
drama.

看樣子愛的代價是不可能擠進前五名了
由於廣告看起來像電視台的自製電影,加上得不到影評的喜愛,
儘管本片有福伯與費雪兩大卡斯,但就是無法與目標成人產生共鳴,
很遺憾CBS進軍戲院的創業作,將會讓他們感到十分煎熬



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All Comments

Quanna avatarQuanna2010-01-24
第5項預測是9百萬,但你翻成8百萬...
Lydia avatarLydia2010-01-26
推翻譯^^
Sandy avatarSandy2010-01-27
他上周預測很離譜也 說成龍電影會贏蘇西的世界
James avatarJames2010-01-30
所以他是權威分析師嗎? 錯的那麼離譜
Caroline avatarCaroline2010-02-02
娛樂週刊的記者資深度沒問題 不過預測準度的確...
Isla avatarIsla2010-02-05
這周又預測失敗 暗黑天使第二名 拜託他別再預測了....
Mia avatarMia2010-02-07
他沒有預測得很不準啦 牙仙跟暗黑都是新片 難預測
Mia avatarMia2010-02-11
況且這一週其實也還沒過完啊XD
Rachel avatarRachel2010-02-14
這個預測已經不準很久了吧?純粹提供參考用..不用太在意