艾莉絲會來到票房仙境嗎? - 電影院

http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/
2010/03/04/box-office-preview-will-alice-be-a-wonderland/

Box office preview: Will 'Alice' be a Wonderland?

by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office

While all of Hollywood is in a tizzy over the upcoming Oscar weekend, most
moviegoers are far more interested in following Alice–and Johnny Depp’s Mad
Hatter–down the rabbit hole. Tim Burton’s adaptation of Lewis Carroll’s
classic Alice in Wonderland is the first movie to bow in 3-D since Avatar
changed the rules of the game. And while Burton’s film has already been
criticized for its 2-D to 3-D conversion compared to Avatar’s advanced
technological efforts, it’s still set to dominate the weekend in a big way.
Almost every other studio has left Burton and Depp alone this frame for what
is sure to be the duo’s most successful opening weekend ever. The only other
new wide release this weekend is Overture’s 2009 Sundance film Brooklyn’s
Finest, which is bowing in more than 1900 theaters. Here’s how we predict
these films will fare:

雖然好萊塢正在歡喜迎接週末的奧斯卡獎,但影迷們恐怕對於
掉入兔洞的艾莉絲與強尼戴普飾演的瘋狂帽客更有興趣
提姆波頓根據路易士卡洛爾暢銷經典改編的"魔境夢遊"
將會是阿凡達改變遊戲規則之後,好萊塢第一部3D電影
儘管魔片最近被批評他的2-D to 3-D轉換技術跟阿凡達相比,是LP比雞腿
但毫無疑問地,魔片仍將稱霸本週的票房榜
其他片場可說是讓波頓與強哥毫無敵手地創下他們最高首周票房紀錄
唯一另一部正面交鋒的,則是Overture於去年日舞影展買進的"惡夜特警隊"
而惡片也至少會有1千9百家戲院上映

1. Alice in Wonderland: $71 million
Disney pulled out all the stops with its beautiful, eye-catching campaign for
Burton’s interpretation of Carroll’s world. Too bad the reviews of the film
haven’t been as pleasant. It’s unlikely those reviews will hurt the film’s
opening weekend, but if audiences agree, it could lead to a severe drop off
for the film’s second week. Also working in the movie’s b.o. favor is its
3-D release. Burton and Depp’s last pairing was 2005’s Charlie and the
Chocolate Factory. That movie bowed to $56.2 million in the middle of summer,
and this film is likely to outgross it. More expensive 3-D tickets, plus the
absence of other kid-friendly films in market could put the PG-rated release
into record-breaking territory. Look for it to beat Warner Bros.’s March
record-holder, the 2007 $70 million debut of 300.

1.魔境夢遊:7千1百萬美金
迪士尼最近在各大路口擺置了本片漂亮又吸引人的宣傳廣告
可惜影評的成績並沒有一樣亮眼,不過這些影評都無法傷害她的首映成績
但如果觀眾同意的話,魔片的第二週恐怕會有大量的跌幅
波頓與強哥5年前暑假中段推出的"巧克力冒險工廠"曾經開出5620萬
今年魔片可望靠著更貴的3D版票價、市場上缺乏針對兒童的電影
打破華納兄弟三年前"三百壯士"的三月首映紀錄

PS:作者誤以為巧克力是強/提兩人上一次合作,這也讓她受到不少網友批評

2. Shutter Island: $11 million
The other daring duo of director/actor pairings, Martin Scorsese and Leonardo
DiCaprio, has fared quite well in theaters over the past two weeks. The
R-rated thriller has already grossed $81 million and is on track to earn
another $11 million over the weekend. That’s pretty great for a film that
got booted out of its original release date last fall.

2.隔離島:1千1百萬美金
另一對影壇大膽的導/演組合:史柯西斯與李奧納多,在這兩周可說是自我感覺良好
這部已經進帳超過8千萬的限制級驚悚片,本週可望多賺進1千萬
對於這部曾經在去年秋天面臨撤檔命運的電影來說,更是相當好的成績

3. Brooklyn’s Finest: $10 million
There’s a solid cast to this hard-boiled drama about corrupt police offices.
Between Richard Gere, Ethan Hawke and Wesley Snipes it’s not a bad ensemble.
But this film from director Antoine Fuqua (Training Day) has been sitting on
a shelf for more than a year. The studio spent a good portion of the time
redoing the ending that originally screened at Sundance. How it fares this
weekend is a real wild card. Shutter Island is attracting the same audience,
and it’s a better movie with some legs still in it. I’ll guess a $10
million debut, but this one could get lost in the mix.

3.惡夜特警隊:1千萬美金
這部描述警察貪污的剛硬派劇情片卡斯頗為堅強
有理查吉爾、伊森霍克與衛斯利史奈普的組合看起來並不差
但這部震撼教育導演的新片卻曾經被片商冷凍至少一年
當惡片在日舞影展首映之後,片商又花了一段時間重拍結局
本片的命運很難預測,因為她的觀眾群跟隔離島相同,而後者又有更好的賣座走勢
我認為她有週末破千萬的潛力,但在一片混亂的影評中,她恐怕也會失敗

4. Cop Out: $9 million
It’ s the only comedy in theaters, so Cop Out could luck out and only drop
50% its second weekend in theaters. That would be good news for the Kevin
Smith film starring Tracy Morgan and Bruce Willis, which bowed last frame to
dismal reviews and only $18 million in box office receipts. If no one is
willing to give the movie a second chance, the R-rated horror film The
Crazies could wind up filling this slot.

4.波麗士很忙:9百萬美金
波片是戲院上唯一的喜劇,所以本片幸運的話跌幅可以控制在5成
這對於布魯斯威利評價悽慘,首映不到兩千萬的新片是個好消息
假如沒有人要給這部電影第二次機會的話,限制級恐怖片"屍心瘋"可望遞補這個位置

5. Avatar: $7.5 million
This is the weekend Avatar will see its first real drop in 12 weeks of
release. Twentieth Century Fox is amazed they were able to hold on to the 695
3-D screens that will still show their spectacle. Too bad they will still be
hurt by IMAX converting its theaters over to Alice in Wonderland.
Nonetheless, no one is crying for James Cameron. The guy has racked up over
$700 million in domestic grosses and could very well walk away with the Best
Picture Oscar this Sunday.

5.阿凡達:750萬美金
本週將會是阿凡達上映12週以來,第一次真正有大跌幅
福斯公司對於他們仍能保留695個3D放映廳感到驚奇
可惜的是,他們仍然會被Imax加持的魔境夢遊打得落花流水
儘管如此,沒有人會為詹姆士柯麥隆哭泣
因為老柯光是在美國就已經賺進7億的票房,而且很有機會在星期天的奧斯卡
上台領取最佳影片獎


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