變形金剛會殺很大，但會有多大？ - 電影院

http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2009/06/box-office-preview-transformers.html

Box Office Preview: 'Transformers 2' will be huge this weekend...but just how
big?
變形金剛會殺很大，但會有多大？

Jun 25, 2009, 10:29 PM | by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office

Michael Bay's over-the-top robot extravaganza sequel, Transformers: Revenge
of the Fallen, has already grossed $60.6 million on its opening day, so we
know that the fanboys have turned out in force. In fact, the movie is
destined to cross the $100 million mark before it even reaches the weekend.
But how the film fares over the five-day, Wednesday-through-Sunday period is
going to be determined by its core fans' repeat business, the impact of their
word of mouth, and how broad the film plays (which, if you take my 3-year-old
son's rabid interest in the giant robots, is incredibly wide). One thing is
for sure: Fused metal will be the star of the multiplex this weekend, and
it's bound to take theaters by storm. The following predictions are for the
usual three-day frame, by the way.

麥可貝機器人冒險故事的續集「變形金剛：復仇之戰」，在首映日已經吸收了
6060萬美金（譯註：單指美國而言），所以這讓我們知道影迷們的確化期待做為
買票的力量了。實際上，本片也將確定在週末之前達到1億的關卡，但TF2能在
這五天吸收多少票房，影響的因素包括死忠影迷會去重看幾次、這些影迷們的
口碑，以及觀眾群有多廣（比方說，假如你能讓我的兒子對巨型機器人產生興趣，
這樣就夠廣了吧）。可以確定的是：火力旺盛的金屬機器人將會是這個禮拜電影院
的風雲人物，並且將在戲院掀起巨大風暴。BTW，以下的預測跟以往一樣是三天的
總合

1.Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen -- $72.5 million
Two years ago, Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix opened on a
Wednesday, and by the end of the weekend it had grossed $139.7 million.
Transformers 2 is guaranteed to blow by that record...and go way beyond. It's
not likely to get to the $203 million that The Dark Knight scored in its
first five days of release, but Michael Bay's movie is going to work damn
hard trying. The movie is opening in more than 4,000 theaters, including 169
IMAX screens, and will prove a big win for distributor Paramount, which will
now be able to claim two of the summer's biggest hits: Transformers 2 and
Star Trek.

1.變形金剛：復仇之戰－7250萬美金
兩年前，在星期三開映的「哈利波特：鳳凰會的密令」，在該週末賺了1億3970萬。
如今TF2確定將會打破這項紀錄…甚至開得更高。當然，TF2是不可能像「黑暗騎士」
那樣開映前五天就賺到2億，但是貝老爺會用盡全力接近這項目標。本片的上映戲院
超過4千家，包括169家有IMAX設備的戲院，這也讓發行本片的派拉蒙確定成為大贏家
，因為TF2與星際爭霸戰這兩部在暑假大成功的電影，都是由他們製作的

2.The Proposal -- $20 million
By Friday, Sandra Bullock's romantic comedy will have grossed $50 million in
one week. Not bad for an actress who had all but abandoned the genre! Word of
mouth has been solid on the movie, and expectations are high that the film,
featuring a star-making performance by Ryan Reynolds, will hold on well
during its sophomore session.

2.愛情限時簽－2千萬美金
珊卓布拉克的浪漫喜劇可望在本週五達成一周5千萬的目標，對於這位很久不做
這種題材的女演員來說可以說是相當不錯的成績。由於本片紮實的口碑，影評們
預測這部讓萊恩雷諾有巨星級表現的喜劇，也能在第二週維持優秀的數據

3.The Hangover -- $16 million
Warner Bros.' R-rated Vegas comedy isn't going away anytime soon. And its
unbelievable hold last weekend is really impressive. It is inevitable,
however, that the movie, which has already grossed $163 million, will get hit
this frame with Transformers 2 steamrolling into theaters.

3.最後大丈夫－1600萬
華納的R級賭城喜劇現在看來還不想離開榜單，因為上個禮拜難以置信的低下跌率
實在是太令人刮目相看了，然而本片雖然已經累積超過1.6億的票房，碰到變形2
也得乖乖地將排名往下滑

4.Up -- $14 million
Pixar's latest animated hit has already surpassed WALL-E's grosses, and its
sights are now set on surpassing Cars' $244 million cume. Transformers 2 will
take out some of Pixar's audience, but with Ice Age 3 coming into theaters
next weekend, this is really its last chance to stay in the Top 5.

4.天外奇蹟－1400萬
皮克斯最新動畫片的票房已經超越去年「瓦力」的成績，未來也可望賺的比
「汽車總動員」的2.4億還要多。然而變形2已經吸收不少皮克斯的觀眾群，
加上下周「冰原歷險記3」即將進入戲院，本周也將是本片在票房榜前五名的
最後一周

5.My Sister's Keeper -- $12 million
This three-hanky Cameron Diaz weepfest has generated some solid reviews,
especially for the lead actress herself. So it will be very interesting to
see how the film fares as the main counter-programming option for the
weekend. With all the light and fluffy fare dominating the box office, it's
likely that My Sister's Keeper's serious themes of a family dealing with a
sick child may be too tough for the public to embrace. Some predictors have
it in the single digits. I'm hopeful that the combination of star power and
fan interest in the Jodi Picoult bestseller on which the movie is based will
propel it into double-digit territory.

5.姊姊的守護者－1200萬
這部由卡麥容狄亞主演的催淚片目前的影評還不錯，尤其跟容姐以前的作品
比較之下可說是更為優秀，所以觀察本片如何成功逆向操作的確是個有趣的
觀察點。以讓人放鬆的電影是目前票房主流的觀點來看，「姐」片這種處理
生病孩子家庭的題材對觀眾而言就相對不討喜，所以不少影評都認為本片
只會有七位數的票房；但是我還是希望明星力量與影迷對於茱蒂皮考特同名
暢銷原著的興趣，能夠成為本片突破千萬票房的推動力量


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