金剛狼會賺多少？ - 電影院

http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2009/04/box-office-prev.html

Box office preview: How big can 'Wolverine' get?
金剛狼會賺多少？

Apr 30, 2009, 04:26 PM | by Nicole Sperling
Categories: Box Office, Movie Biz

At midnight tonight Hollywood declares the start of the Summer moviegoing
season with the bow of X-Men Origins: Wolverine opening on an enormous 4,000+
theaters. How big it will bow is the question of the day with many wondering
if the pirated leak of the film last month will have any negative impact on
its overall box office. Here's the top five as I see it:

從今天晚上開始，好萊塢將由「X戰警：金剛狼」高達4千家戲院的上映，正式展開
暑期電影季。本片能衝多高，已經成為了今天最大的疑問，因為許多人都擔心上個月
非法版的提前洩漏會對本片的整體票房造成衝擊。以下是我本週的前五名名單

1. X-Men Origins: Wolverine -- $85 million
Early reviews haven't been kind -- but who cares! This is summertime. This is
good, clean, popcorn entertainment with a hunky Hugh Jackman and some cool
special effects. Plus, the economy's in the toilet, pigs are infecting us
with the flu, and Pakistan's got nuclear arms. I can't think of a better time
for a Wolfman with shiny blades to entertain us. Whether or not the film can
match Iron Man's incredible $98.6 million box office opening last year at
this time remains to be seen, but it's highly unlikely that the leaked copy
will truly hamper the film's grossing potential.

1.X戰警：金剛狼－8500萬美金
初步的影評並不友善，但誰在乎啊！現在是夏天耶，一邊看休傑克曼的魅力
與一些很酷的特效一邊吃爆米花也沒什麼不對啊。而且，現在景氣就跟廁所的味道
一樣臭，豬隻會讓我們得新流感，巴基斯坦又有新的核彈，我覺得這已經是讓這位
帶著閃亮狼爪的狼人娛樂我們的最好時機了。就算他無法追上去年鋼鐵人高達9860萬
的輝煌開映，但非法下載版應該不可能會傷害到他的吸金潛力

2. Ghosts of Girlfriends Past -- $15 million
This formulaic romantic comedy starring Matthew McConaughey and Jennifer
Garner is the traditional "counter-programming" option that Hollywood doles
out to anybody not interested in super heroes and special effects. The
critics have skewered this film, but tracking still suggests the appeal of
the McConaughey and Garner will get it opened in the teens. I'd rather stay
home and watch some vintage McConaughey in Dazed and Confused but perhaps
sappy romance is what audiences are looking for today.

2.真愛找麻煩－1500萬美金
這部由馬修麥康納與珍妮佛嘉娜主演的公式化浪漫喜劇正是我們所謂的「逆向操作」
，這是好萊塢想要吸引那些對超級英雄與特效片沒有興趣的人祭出的法寶。
影評們對本片也並不友善，但是調查結果仍然暗示麥康納與嘉娜的「雙納連線」
仍然能在年輕人面前吃的開。雖然說我寧可呆在家看著麥哥在「Dazed and Confused」
中年輕的模樣，不過也許這種無厘頭愛情故事正是現今觀眾們的菜吧！

3. Obsessed -- $13 million
Beyonce shocked box office watchers with the $28.6 million opening for her
girl-on-girl catfight with Ali Larter. Its second weekend is likely to drop
60 percent like most surprise hits that have come before it. But that would
still put the film at $13 million, which is quite a feat for a movie
everybody under-estimated.

3.鬼迷心竅－1300萬美金
當畢昂斯與亞莉萊特的女子求愛大對抗上週開出高達2860萬的票房時，所有的
票房觀察者們的眼鏡都破掉了。這部今年影壇最大黑馬本週會有6成的跌幅，
但仍能保持在1300萬，這對這部所有人都低估的電影可說是打了一場漂亮的戰役

4. 17 Again -- $5.5 million美金
Zac Efron should be sticking around in the top five for the third weekend in
a row. His lovable body swap comedy has already made over $40 million at the
box. This weekend may get hit a little more with the teenagers flocking to
Wolverine, but it should still crack the top 5 this frame.

4.回到17歲－550萬美金
塞克愛福隆應該可以連續三週都固守在前五名，他討喜的身體交換喜劇目前已經
替電影院賺進4千萬美金，本週雖然因為不少年輕人去看金剛狼所以票房增加幅度
有限，但本週的前五名應該還是會看得到他的蹤影

5. Earth -- $5 million
Okay, so Disney isn't donating any more trees in exchange for your tickets
this upcoming weekend but that doesn't mean audiences aren't going to show up
for this nature doc. The movie's weekday sales have been strong with the film
holding on to the No. 2 slot over The Soloist. And with limited children's
fare in the marketplace, it may hold in this weekend pretty well.

5.Earth－5百萬美金
好吧，迪士尼從本週開始不會再把你的電影票換成種樹基金，但這並不表示觀眾們
不想再關心環保議題。本片的非週末票房很堅穩的固守在第2名，賣出的票甚至比
小勞勃道尼的新片「心靈獨奏」還要多，再加上市場上可以讓兒童闔家觀賞的影片
並不多，本片在這個週末還是可以穩住

Also opening this weekend is Lionsgate and Roadside Attractions Battle for
Terra. This 3-D sci-fi animated pic has received little in the way of
marketing support. Bowing on only 1159 theaters, most expect the film
featuring voice talent from Justin Long and Evan Rachel Wood to not surpass
the $3 million for the three-day frame.

本週上映的新片還有獅子門與Roadside Attractions合作的「Battle for Terra」，
不過這部3D科幻動畫片在市場上的反應並不踴躍，只有1159家戲院會上映，大部分的
預測都認為雖然有賈斯丁龍與伊凡瑞秋伍德的聲音助陣，本片在這三天的票房還是
不會超過3百萬


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